Saturday, October 27, 2007

'Walking Into Iran's Trap'

Ignatius in the WaPo, here
"That's the lesson for Muslim warriors of the Iraq and Lebanon wars: Draw your adversaries deep into terrain that you control; taunt them into starting a war they can't finish. I'm told that the Syrian military, for example, is now changing its doctrine to fight an asymmetric guerrilla war against Israel that it can win, Hezbollah-style, rather than a conventional war it would certainly lose."

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Is the Gulf 'deep terrain' the US cannot control? The Gulf is, as it were, at sea level. Flat. The high ground is the Iranian coast. Is the Iranian coast honeycomed with bunkers? Okinawa drawn long? Could these bunkers be filled wirh Anti Ship Missiles? The Noor? The C-802? Hundreds? More? The Moskit perhaps? Are there fleets of fast missle armed boats? Hundreds? More? Missile armed pleasure craft, fishing boats? Are there thousands of advanced anti-ship mines waiting to be deployed? Or already deployed? Ask Gen. Paul van Ripper what he might do, in these circumstances.

The answer might not give comfort. Imagine the effect on the US of the visuals of a fleet in flames. An aircraft carrier sinking.

Exaggeration? See 'Millenium Challenge 2002.'

Anonymous said...

Is the Gulf 'deep terrain' the US cannot control? The Gulf is, as it were, at sea level. Flat. The high ground is the Iranian coast. Is the Iranian coast honeycomed with bunkers? Okinawa drawn long? Could these bunkers be filled wirh Anti Ship Missiles? The Noor? The C-802? Hundreds? More? The Moskit perhaps? Are there fleets of fast missle armed boats? Hundreds? More? Missile armed pleasure craft, fishing boats? Are there thousands of advanced anti-ship mines waiting to be deployed? Or already deployed? Ask Gen. Paul van Ripper what he might do, in these circumstances.

The answer might not give comfort. Imagine the effect on the US of the visuals of a fleet in flames. An aircraft carrier sinking.

Exaggeration? See 'Millenium Challenge 2002.'